What the National Hurricane Center and NOAA Have to Say About Hurricane Season 2025

Introduction

As temperatures rise and the skies grow unsettled, conversations shift to one thing: hurricane season. For millions living along the Atlantic and Gulf coasts, it’s a seasonal reality. And while every year is different, the risks are real.

In 2025, storm activity is expected to be above average. Knowing what’s coming—and what to do about it—is more important than ever. Trusted sources like the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and NOAA play a critical role in tracking storms and issuing forecasts. Here are some tips to help you stay informed and safe this season.

When Is Hurricane Season 2025?

The Atlantic hurricane season officially lasts from June 1 to November 30. But storms don’t always stick to the calendar. In recent years, systems have formed in May and even lingered into December.

The regions at risk include the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico, and Caribbean Sea, impacting coastal states, island nations, and parts of Central America. Millions live in these areas, making early alerts and preparedness crucial.

In 2024, the number of storms was about average, but several were destructive. Florida and parts of Mexico’s Yucatán Peninsula saw damaging landfalls. With memories still fresh, many communities are approaching this season with added caution.

What Does the National Hurricane Center Do?

Based in Miami, the National Hurricane Center is the key agency responsible for monitoring, forecasting, and issuing warnings for tropical cyclones.

You’ve likely seen their forecast “cones” during past storms—visuals that predict the likely path of a storm’s center. These cones are part of 5-day and 7-day outlooks, updated multiple times daily.

The NHC uses satellites, radar, and aircraft (known as “hurricane hunters”) to gather real-time data. These resources help forecasters evaluate storm strength, direction, and potential landfall locations. While long-range forecasts still carry uncertainty, accuracy has significantly improved over the years, giving people more time to act.

NOAA’s Hurricane Forecast for 2025

In May, NOAA released its seasonal forecast—and it’s calling for a busier-than-usual year:

• 18 to 23 named storms
• 8 to 11 hurricanes
• 4 to 6 major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher)

Two key reasons for the elevated forecast:

• El Niño is weakening. Stronger wind shear in the Atlantic during El Niño frequently hinders storm formation. But now that it is dwindling, the conditions are better for development.
• Atlantic waters are unusually warm. Warm ocean water fuels hurricanes. The hotter the surface, the greater the energy available for storms to strengthen.

NOAA will release an updated outlook in August, reflecting early-season activity and changing conditions.

How to Track a Tropical Storm or Hurricane

Thanks to modern tools, tracking storms is easier and more accurate than ever.

Start with the NOAA Hurricane Tracker and NHC Forecast Maps. These offer the most recent data on the location, strength, and progress of storms. The 5-day Tropical Weather Outlook is another valuable resource for spotting early signs of development.

Understand these key terms:

• Watch: Conditions are possible. Stay alert.
• Warning: Conditions are expected. Take action immediately.

For quick alerts, download apps like FEMA, MyRadar, or the Hurricane Tracker by the American Red Cross. These send push notifications based on your location or preset areas of concern.

Social media can also be useful—but only if you follow verified sources, like @NHC_Atlantic. Avoid relying on group chats or viral posts, especially during emergencies.

What to Do If a Hurricane Is Headed Your Way

Preparedness matters. When a storm is approaching, having a plan in place can save time—and lives.

Basic Hurricane Prep Checklist:

• Stock up on non-perishable food, water, and prescriptions (minimum 3-day supply)
• Charge phones, power banks, and any backup power sources
• Know your evacuation zone and route
• Keep cash on hand (power outages affect ATMs)
• Bring in outdoor furniture and secure loose items
• Fill your gas tank early
• Set up a communication plan with family or neighbors

Evacuate or stay put?

If local officials issue an evacuation order, don’t wait—leave early to avoid traffic and road closures. If you’re outside the evacuation zone and your home is storm-ready, sheltering in place could be the safer option.

Always rely on information from NHC, NOAA, and local emergency management—not rumors or social media speculation.

Final Thoughts

Hurricane season doesn’t need to be overwhelming, but it does demand attention. With 2025 expected to be an active year, staying informed and prepared is essential.

Key takeaways:

• Season runs from June 1 to November 30
• NOAA expects above-average activity
• Follow NHC and local authorities for trusted updates
• Preparedness is better than panic

Save these links for quick access:

• National Hurricane Center
• NOAA Hurricane Updates
• FEMA Hurricane Preparedness